His true position is that of a potent-but-sterile intellectual rake, who leaves in his merry path a long train of ravished maidens but no viable scientific offspring.Įxactly! Meehl got it all down in 1967. In terms of his contribution to the enduring body of psychological knowledge, he has done hardly anything.
Best macro recorder reddit forked paths full#
Meanwhile our eager-beaver researcher, undismayed by logic-of-science considerations and relying blissfully on the “exactitude” of modem statistical hypothesis-testing, has produced a long publication list and been promoted to a full professorship. Some of the more horrible examples of this process would require the combined analytic and reconstructive efforts of Carnap, Hempel, and Popper to unscramble the logical relationships of theories and hypotheses to evidence.
Best macro recorder reddit forked paths series#
In this fashion a zealous and clever investigator can slowly wend his way through a tenuous nomological network, performing a long series of related experiments which appear to the uncritical reader as a fine example of “an integrated research program,” without ever once refuting or corroborating so much as a single strand of the network. It is not unusual that (e) this ad hoc challenging of auxiliary hypotheses is repeated in the course of a series of related experiments, in which the auxiliary hypothesis involved in Experiment 1 (and challenged ad hoc in order to avoid the latter’s modus tollens impact on the theory) becomes the focus of interest in Experiment 2, which in turn utilizes further plausible but easily challenged auxiliary hypotheses, and so forth. Part of our discussion turned on the thrashing attempts of power-pose defenders to salvage their hypothesis in the context of a failed replication, by postulating an effect that work under some conditions but not others, an effect that shines brightly when studied by motivated researchers but slips away in replications. 05” results that were published in a psychology journal. I’ll start with this quote, provided by a commenter on our recent thread on the “power pose,” a business fad hyped by NPR, NYT, Ted, etc., based on some “p less than. So how is it that all this was happening, in plain sight, and now here we are? The puzzle of Paul Meehl is that everything we’re saying now, all this stuff about the problems with Psychological Science and PPNAS and Ted talks and all that, Paul Meehl was saying 50 years ago.